Energy |

The Silent Creeping Up

No, I'm not talking about Apple, very loudly creeping up, then down and representing ever more SPX points. The creeping up is oil.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: brent, energy, oil

Commodities/Futures | | February 15, 2012 3:58 pm | Comments Off

Portugal, and Yields, and Iran . . .

Portugal, and yields, and Iran - oh my! None of these are new stories. Portugal is bigger than Greece - but we knew that. Moreover, we knew Portugal was in dire straits. We knew Germany was already hesitant to provide more assistance and would demand higher guarantees.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: currency trading, energy, iran, oil, yield

Currency, Fixed Income/Bonds, Strategy/Allocation | | January 30, 2012 1:45 pm | Comments Off

All eyes should be on Iran

Last year I started writing about the divergent forces working on oil: global slowdown vs. geopolitical unrest. So far, geopolitical unrest has been winning.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: energy, geopolitical, iran, Straits of Hormuz

Strategy/Allocation | | January 23, 2012 12:17 pm | Comments Off

Natural Gas

Natural gas continues to hang out at its lows, and I'm liking it more and more.

What's also interesting is that UNG, which is the ETF created to play natural gas continues to diverge from the commodity, so that even as the commodity stabilizes and even has a few up days, UNG continues to underperform.

The above chart is the ratio of the natural gas index: UNG monthly since the inception of UNG in 2007.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: energy, fcg, natural gas

Commodities/Futures | | December 2, 2011 11:37 am | Comments Off

The real alternative energy

A long long time ago, there was a lot of talk about alternative energy, and then the government got involved, and the talk subsided, but it was always there, and there were prominent VC's who touted it, and then we all shifted our attention to Europe - and now . . .Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: alternative energy, coal, energy, natural gas, nuclear, oil

Commodities/Futures | | November 18, 2011 12:34 pm | Comments Off

Oil and Ag

It's all in the timing. I recently spoke to a client about the recent divergence between oil and the agricultural space. I'm not a chart specialist, but I do like to reference the charts for a quick view of history. In this case, the spread between oil and ag indices looks pretty stretched. .Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: agriculture, commodity trading, energy, oi-ag spread, oil, spread trading

Commodities/Futures | | November 10, 2011 3:58 pm | Comments Off

Another oil shock?

From a recent report by McKinsey:

It’s been a while since the world has been truly preoccupied with the threat of sustained high oil prices.

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Tags: energy, oil shock

Commodities/Futures | | November 3, 2011 11:04 am | Comments Off

Oil and energy

As the world's growth is being recognized for what it is, namely anemic if not outright negative, oil and the industrial commodities have come off a good 30+%.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: energy, oil

Commodities/Futures | | October 6, 2011 2:02 pm | Comments (0)

And over in this corner…

While the world looks at the euro dying a surprisingly slow death, I once again have to shift readers' focus.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: arab spring, energy, israel, Middle East, oil

Commodities/Futures, Strategy/Allocation | | September 12, 2011 9:41 am | Comments (0)

On the rout in energy

With an economic slowdown starting to get priced in, and deflationary pressures increasing, energy is lower.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: energy, oil

Commodities/Futures | | September 5, 2011 5:51 pm | Comments (0)

A Contrarian Take On Oil

60 million barrels sure sounds like a lot, so thank you world governments for releasing that into the system and alleviating consumers' burdens.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: commodities, energy, inflation, oil

Commodities/Futures | | June 23, 2011 11:21 am | Comments (1)

Energy Revisited

Earlier this week, Dennis Gartman had a note out on the technicalities behind the failed OPEC meeting, where the votes were roughly split between countries willing and unwilling to boost production.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: energy, gartman, oil

Commodities/Futures | | June 9, 2011 11:44 am | Comments (0)

World Growth is Slowing

World growth is slowing and that means that not all commodities are equal. Commodities have 2 opposing forces at play determining their prices. The first, is a complex, global, supply and demand equilibrium.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: agriculture, copper, energy, GDP, precious metals

Commodities/Futures | | May 26, 2011 11:14 am | Comments (0)

Silver – yes, I sold it too early

You wouldn't believe the vehemence of the responses I've received for selling silver last week, and the chides so far this week. Sure, I sold silver and bought GDX and XLU in its stead and missed out on a few percentages of relative performance.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: energy, gold, precious metals, silver

Commodities/Futures | | April 20, 2011 10:58 am | Comments (0)

Energy – dare to disagree with Goldman

Goldman came out with a note today encouraging clients to dumb their oil holdings and lo and behold, oil is down 4% - correlation, not necessarily causation, I know, but still.Viewing the remainder of this article requires a Subscription

Tags: commodity trading, energy, Goldman, oil

Commodities/Futures | | April 12, 2011 1:35 pm | Comments (0)

Posts tagged: energy